Elections 2022

 Uttar Pradesh, the country's most populous state, has approximately 14.66 crore voters, while Punjab has over 2 crore electors, according to January 1, 2021 data of the Election Commission. Uttarakhand has 78.15 lakh voters while Manipur has 19.58 lakh and Goa has 11.45 lakh electors. The five states together have an estimated 17.84 crore voters.

Himachal Pradesh assembly elections is due to happen in the month of October 2022. Jai Ram Thakur of the Bhartiya Janata Party will be the incumbent Chief Minister going into the elections. It will be another crucial election for both the national parties ie BJP and INC along with the Gujarat, Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Manipur and Goa elections.

The main fight will be between the ruling party BJP and its main opposition INC. It will also be the most challenging assembly election for the Congress since Jai Ram Thakur has been one of the best ranked CM during the Covid times. People are also satisfied with his works for the last 5 years. Apart from the Congress, Aam Aadmi Party who recently opened their office in Shimla will also contest the election, though the main competition will be between BJP and INC.

In 2019 Lok Sabha elections, BJP got all the 4 seats while Congress got nothing. BJPs vote share was also 69% while Congress got only 27.30% vote share. BJP saw an increase of vote share of about 16% while Congress saw their vote share got down about 14% as compared to 2014 Lok Sabha election.

Talking about the assembly segments, in 2019 BJP led in all the 68 assembly seats while Congress were distant second in almost all the seats.

Congress has started gearing up for the 2022 assembly elections in Himachal Pradesh as the newly-appointed party incharge in the state Rajeev Shukla held discussions with leaders and office-bearers for two days in Shimla. Though factionalism within Congress in Himachal Pradesh is known to all, Shukla denied the same and claimed that the party is united and would form the government in 2022.
After holding discussions with party leaders for two days, Shukla interacted with mediapersons in Shimla on Friday. He said Congress would enter the 2022 assembly election as united force and it had already started hunt for candidates having the potential to win. He said he had two years for the poll preparation for which a roadmap would be formulated accordingly. He said wherever required, necessary restructuring in the organisation would be done. He said in the coming election, failure of BJP governments at the state and Centre would be the main poll issue. He alleged that development had come to a halt in the state under the present regime and unemployment had increased with14 lakh being jobless in the state. He said at present, farmers’ organisstions were opposing the farm bills passed by BJP government at Centre and Congress supported their protest as farmers in the country had already been badly affected by the poor economic conditions.
He said two farming bills recently passed would put farmers in distress as they did not give farmers the right to sell their agriculture produce to the corporate at MSP. He said these bills have protected the rights of private firms instead of

There Will Be Very Tough Election in 2022. There were Only one Game Changer in 2017, Modi. But In 2022, Hardik Patel and Modi Are Present. You Know, Rural Patidars Constitute about 20% Of Total Population of Gujarat and They Believe in Hardik Patel. Urban Patidars Are 50–50 divided Between BJP and Congress. Congress has Strong Vote Base among obc Castes which Constitute about 40% Of Total Population. Forward Castes Believe in BJP.

GUJARAT CASTE SCENARIO

OBC ~ 35% ( Congress - 55%, BJP -40% )

PATIDARS ~ 24% ( Congress - 75%, BJP 20% )

MUSLIMS ~ 8% ( Congress 85% , BJP 10% )

FORWARD ~ 15% ( Congress - 5%, BJP 90% )

TRIBALS ~ 10% (Congress - 35% BJP 30%, BTP -30%)

PATIDARS Voted approximately 55% to BJP in 2017 And 90% In 2012

The following points are outcome of my research for Gujarat 2022 elections.

(1) BJP will not make the government even with a nominal Majority.  Modi factor is dead and people raring for revenge for all mismanagements and covid deaths and putting the manipulated numbers to fool people. This is the same with all the states going to polls 

(2)Congress is not weak as it is shown in Gujarat. Congress is very strong in rural Gujarat regions.

(3)Congress do has certain bastions and loyal voters in Gujarat.

(4) Seats, hold and credibility of Congress will be improved after election 2022 in the state.

(5)Despite of a tight competition BJP will for sure make the government and Congress will have to satisfy themselves with chair of leader of opposition in state assembly.